Which of the following most logically completes the argument below?Twenty percent of the stores in Morganville's downtown shopping district will fail within five years because they will be competing directly with the SaveMart discount department store newly opened in East Morganville

题目

Which of the following most logically completes the argument below?

Twenty percent of the stores in Morganville's downtown shopping district will fail within five years because they will be competing directly with the SaveMart discount department store newly opened in East Morganville. The downtown shopping district has lost business at this rate before and has always completely rebounded. Confidence that it will rebound again from the losses it is now about to suffer is ill founded, however, because __________.

选项

the stores likely to be put out of business by direct competition from SaveMart are the downtown shopping district's anchor stores, on whose ability to draw shoppers many of the other downtown stores depend

the bus line that has long connected the downtown area of Morganville with East Morganville has a tradition of carrying shoppers who reside in East Morganville into downtown Morganville to shop

when the downtown shopping district has rebounded before, the business premises of a failed business were typically taken over by a business of the same kind as had been there before

SaveMart's business plan for the East Morganville store is based on earning low profits, if any, during the first five years of the store's existence

it is conceivable that the downtown shopping district could shrink substantially without collapsing altogether

解析

以下哪一项最符合逻辑地完成下面的论证？摩根维尔市中心购物区20%的商店将在五年内倒闭，因为它们将直接与新在东摩根维尔开业的SaveMart折扣百货商店竞争。市中心购物区以前曾以这样的倒闭率失去过生意，但总是能完全恢复。然而，认为它能从即将遭受的损失中再次恢复的信心是没有根据的，因为______。 **论据**：市中心购物区以前有20%的商店以类似的倒闭率失去生意时总能完全恢复，但这次面对新开业的SaveMart折扣百货商店导致20%的商店将在五年内倒闭。 **论点**：认为这次市中心购物区能像以前一样从即将遭受的损失中再次恢复是没有根据的。 **正确答案方向**：正确答案应该是能够提供一个这次情况与以往不同的关键因素，即某种会阻碍其像以前一样恢复的特殊情况。 **A选项**：可能因与SaveMart直接竞争而倒闭的商店是市中心购物区的主力店，许多其他市中心的商店依赖这些主力店吸引顾客的能力。该选项指出了这次与以往不同的关键因素，以前能恢复可能是倒闭的商店并非主力店等关键因素，而这次倒闭的是主力店，会影响其他商店，使得恢复变得困难，符合正确答案方向。 **B选项**：长期连接摩根维尔市中心和东摩根维尔的公交线路一直有搭载东摩根维尔的居民到摩根维尔市中心购物的传统。这似乎表明市中心购物区仍有一定的客源，反而有支持能恢复的意思，不符合正确答案方向。 **C选项**：以前市中心购物区恢复时，倒闭企业的营业场所通常会被与之前同类型的企业接管。这说明以前恢复有其模式，但并不能表明这次为什么不能像以前一样恢复，不符合正确答案方向。 **D选项**：SaveMart在东摩根维尔商店的商业计划是基于在商店开业的前五年赚取低利润（如果有的话）。SaveMart的利润计划与市中心购物区能否恢复没有直接关联，不符合正确答案方向。 **E选项**：可以想象市中心购物区可能大幅缩小但不会完全崩溃。没有指出这次不能恢复的关键原因，不符合正确答案方向。

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